Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.001410 0.001575 0.001740 0.001916 0.002100 0.002285 0.002485
2025-09-14 0.001147 0.001385 0.001630 0.001900 0.002186 0.002479 0.002801
2025-09-21 0.000983 0.001279 0.001592 0.001944 0.002324 0.002719 0.003157
2025-09-28 0.000874 0.001220 0.001596 0.002024 0.002494 0.002988 0.003542
2025-10-05 0.000735 0.001115 0.001538 0.002031 0.002578 0.003160 0.003818
2025-10-12 0.000632 0.001041 0.001509 0.002062 0.002684 0.003351 0.004111
2025-10-19 0.000515 0.000940 0.001440 0.002043 0.002729 0.003472 0.004324
2025-10-26 0.000424 0.000861 0.001391 0.002042 0.002791 0.003608 0.004550
2025-11-02 0.000335 0.000775 0.001327 0.002018 0.002823 0.003707 0.004733
2025-11-09 0.000274 0.000718 0.001296 0.002029 0.002891 0.003845 0.004957
2025-11-16 0.000215 0.000659 0.001257 0.002027 0.002943 0.003962 0.005154
2025-11-23 0.000166 0.000606 0.001221 0.002027 0.002994 0.004076 0.005347
2025-11-30 0.000114 0.000551 0.001197 0.002061 0.003110 0.004291 0.005685
2025-12-07 0.000054 0.000461 0.001119 0.002028 0.003146 0.004417 0.005927
2025-12-14 0.000024 0.000414 0.001098 0.002063 0.003264 0.004638 0.006277
2025-12-21 0.000010 0.000391 0.001109 0.002139 0.003431 0.004915 0.006690
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000335 0.001065 0.002141 0.003507 0.005086 0.006982
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000296 0.001043 0.002170 0.003614 0.005291 0.007313
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000240 0.000987 0.002149 0.003656 0.005420 0.007554
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000198 0.000946 0.002147 0.003721 0.005573 0.007822
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000152 0.000892 0.002122 0.003755 0.005688 0.008044
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000124 0.000865 0.002133 0.003832 0.005853 0.008322
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000095 0.000830 0.002131 0.003892 0.005996 0.008574